By Jim Ballard
MASSP Executive Director
December 27, 2007
Governor Granholm:
Thank you for the invitation to be a member of your high school advisory committee. Like you, the members of the Michigan Association of Secondary School Principals believe the economic future of our state rests on a well-trained and educated workforce. Like you, we want to be a part of not just of solving the dropout problem, but also of getting far more of our young people into and through postsecondary education.
Recent headlines proclaiming 98 of Michiganâs high schools as Dropout Factories are deeply disturbing to our members. While the statistics below are not 100 percent precise, they are the best estimates we currently have of locating where Michiganâs dropout problems are most severe. We applaud your interest in attacking the problem and want very much to partner with you as you move forward. It is important to us, however, that the solutions match the scale of the problem.
So far, the major idea on the table is to create some new small high schools. We have no problem with that approach, as far as it goes. That is, there is some evidence that small high schools - especially if they use the early college idea as a strategy to help disadvantaged youngsters aim at something higher - can indeed salvage some youngsters who would ordinarily leave high school without completing a diploma.
That said, we should all be clear that establishing a few new small high schools is NOT going to solve Michiganâs high school dropout problem. Indeed, if size alone were a solution, Michigan - where the average high school has only about 650 students - should already have one of the highest high school completion rates in the country.
Here is what we know about Michiganâs current âDropout Factoriesâ:
- 44 percent are small high schools with fewer than 800 students.
- 36 of the 98 dropout factories are what pass for âlargeâ high schools in Michigan (more than 1,200 students, but a far cry from the schools of 3,000-4,000 that are common in California or Texas). Please note, however, that 11 of the schools with the strongest graduation rates (promoting power of 90% of more) are also large high schools.
- The majority of the dropout factories (55%) have high concentrations of poor and minority students.
- 17 of the dropout factories are in rural areas; 37 are in the suburbs and 44 in cities.
You see the problem is clearly not just the size of the high school, nor is it confined to urban areas. So a few new small high schools in urban areas is not likely to solve the problem.
So what else needs to happen? To us, the answer should be clear; get serious about making the new high school polices that you worked so hard to get into place actually work!
Governor Granholm, you led state government to adopt a state policy to increase academic rigor in Michiganâs high schools. My organization strongly supported that new policy. But our members need help in making it work. Indeed, if new statewide strategies are not put in place to help us ensure student success in meeting the Michigan Merit Standard, many of us feel our public schools will become Factories for Failure.
So what are the pieces of such a strategy? We suggest four critical pieces:
- Aggressive redesign of the all-important ninth grade.
- A new early warning system that would couple assessment data with attendance data and grades to flag potential dropouts early on, and organize immediate interventions.
- A dropout recovery system modeled on the approaches used so successfully in Portland, Oregon.
- Highly focused training and supports for the teachers assigned to teach courses most likely to slow students down on their path to graduation.
Let me say just a little bit about each one.
Ninth Grade Redesign:
The K-12 system, much like the medical system, has points of transition. The most important are: third to fourth grade, sixth to seventh grade, and entering the ninth grade.
Ninth grade transition is hugely important. The schools that have focused on ninth grade interventions have seen remarkable success in keeping students in school and on schedule to earn a diploma.
An aggressive ninth grade intervention program at Patterson High School in Maryland, designed by researchers in the Talent Development Program at Johns Hopkins University, resulted in the following:
- 9th grade attendance improved by 9.4 percentage points (from 65.6 to 75 percent).
- Attendance school-wide went up 6.1 percentage points (from 71 t0 77 percent).
- 9th grade promotion went from 47.3 to 69.1 percent.
- Teachersâ perceptions of school changed dramatically.
There are a variety of elements that are necessary to achieve these results, including a structured âcatch upâ curriculum for students who are behind. Our schools need help like this in redesigning their ninth grade programs.
Early Warning Systems:
We suggest you put in place a strategy of transition benchmarks with a tightly framed early warning system. A good early warning system would require that schools evaluate student data - attendance, tardiness, grades and test scores - at the end of 6th grade and before the 9th grade. At each transition point, if available data suggests the student is heading for trouble, an aggressive intervention program should be required.
Such a system will be particularly helpful in focusing needed attention on boys, who research says are now overwhelmingly more likely than girls to drop out. With boys, in particular, looking at the test data is not sufficient. This more holistic look at each child will help our schools focus fast on the children most likely to eventually drop out.
Dropout Recovery
Research tells us that within two weeks of dropping out most students regret their decision. We need to give them an opportunity to come right back.
Sometimes, all it takes is a phone call inviting them back. But for students who need more customized education environments, Michigan should take a careful look at the Community College-based model of recovery in place in Portland, Oregon.
Support for Teachers in Core Courses
The Michigan Merit Standard has not, to date, brought in support for the classroom teacher. Thatâs a problem. Most of our teachers already do just fine with the students who come to them with strong academic skills. But we are asking them now to succeed with students whose skills are not strong.
We need to bring in high quality help, including both content-related help (curriculum support, model lessons and assignments) and help with instructional strategies more likely to help low-skilled students meet the Michigan Merit Standard.
Some of this might not be as sexy as a set of brand new schools, with all the bells, ribbons, and hoopla. But it is hugely important work, and far more likely to really fix our dropout problem at scale.
Governor Granholm, you demonstrated great courage in putting Michigan at the forefront of the country in the effort to make the high school diploma really matter. Reducing dropouts isnât a different problem; rather, itâs about making this policy really work. Phase two of the Michigan Merit Standard should establish a relationship of caring between the standard and the students and their teachers. We think these interventions would take us squarely in that direction.
Respectfully,
Jim Ballard
Examples of Successful Programs for consideration
Intervention models:
1. Talent Development High Schools
2. Evaluation of Adolescent Literacy Intervention Strategies
3. Career Academies
4. Scaling Up First Things First
Recovery Model
Portland School District Dropout Recovery Model